{"id":12917,"date":"2025-06-30T14:09:27","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T12:09:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=12917"},"modified":"2025-06-30T14:09:27","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T12:09:27","slug":"si-ndikon-konflikti-izrael-iran-ne-luften-ukraine-rusi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/opinion\/si-ndikon-konflikti-izrael-iran-ne-luften-ukraine-rusi\/","title":{"rendered":"Si ndikon konflikti Izrael-Iran n\u00eb luft\u00ebn Ukrain\u00eb-Rusi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u00eb 13 qershor, Izraeli nisi operacionin ushtarak \u201c<\/span>Operation Rising Lion<\/span><\/i><\/a>\u201d, me q\u00ebllim t\u00eb zhdukjes s\u00eb fuqis\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb Iranit, t\u00eb cil\u00ebn Izraeli e sheh si rrezik ekzistencial. Operacioni p\u00ebrfshiu mbi 100 sulme si <\/span>objektiva ushtarak\u00eb<\/span><\/a>, qendra t\u00eb k\u00ebrkimeve b\u00ebrthamore dhe selin\u00eb e Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare, mes t\u00eb tjerash.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Irani u kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigj me kund\u00ebr-operacionin <\/span>Operation True Promise 3<\/span><\/i><\/a>,<\/span> q\u00eb p\u00ebrfshinte nj\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb t\u00eb koordinuar me mbi 300 raketa balistike dhe dron\u00eb mbi qytetet kryesore izraelite, si Tel Avivi dhe Haifa, duke shkaktuar viktima dhe d\u00ebme n\u00eb infrastruktur\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ky konflikt p\u00ebrb\u00ebn nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim serioz mes dy fuqive ushtarake t\u00eb Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme, q\u00eb mund t\u00eb prodhoj\u00eb pasoja serioze p\u00ebr paqen, sigurin\u00eb dhe ekonomin\u00eb rajonale e bot\u00ebrore.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb aspektin ekonomik, Rusia mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitoj\u00eb nga ngritja e \u00e7mimit global t\u00eb naft\u00ebs, por n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, ndihma ushtarake e Iranit ndaj Rusis\u00eb mund t\u00eb dob\u00ebsohet duksh\u00ebm. N\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr, SHBA-ja mund ta zhvendos\u00eb fokusin te Lindja e Mesme, gj\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00eb pak mb\u00ebshtetje ushtarake ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c7rregullimi i tregjeve t\u00eb energjis\u00eb dhe p\u00ebrfitimet e Rusis\u00eb<\/b><\/p>\n

Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb prej prodhuesve m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj t\u00eb naft\u00ebs n\u00eb <\/span>bot\u00eb<\/span><\/a>. Andaj, \u00e7do destabilizim i tij ndikon drejtp\u00ebrdrejt n\u00eb tregjet globale t\u00eb naft\u00ebs. Me p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin e luft\u00ebs dhe me rrezikun e bllokimit t\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb <\/span>Hormuzit<\/span><\/a>, p\u00ebrmes s\u00eb cil\u00ebs kalon mbi 20% e naft\u00ebs globale, eksportet iraniane dhe t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb Gjirit Persik jan\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik t\u00eb madh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pasojat n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb drejtim ishin t\u00eb shpejta dhe t\u00eb v\u00ebrejtshme n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb globin. Menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas sulmeve, <\/span>\u00e7mimi i naft\u00ebs<\/span><\/a> u rrit n\u00eb mbi 7%, duke kaluar pragun e 95 dollar\u00ebve p\u00ebr fu\u00e7i.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mir\u00ebpo, jo \u00e7dokush \u00ebsht\u00eb humb\u00ebs nga rritja e \u00e7mimit t\u00eb naft\u00ebs. Ky \u00e7rregullim energjetik i jep Rusis\u00eb mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e p\u00ebrfitimit financiar t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm, pasi Moska, e cila tash e sa koh\u00eb ndodhet n\u00ebn sanksione t\u00eb ashpra per\u00ebndimore, eksporton naft\u00ebn me \u00e7mime m\u00eb t\u00eb larta p\u00ebrmes rrug\u00ebve alternative p\u00ebr n\u00eb Azi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c7mimet m\u00eb t\u00eb larta n\u00ebnkuptojn\u00eb fitime m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. Rritja e t\u00eb ardhurave nga energjia i ofron Rusis\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje jetike p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur gjall\u00eb operacionet dhe prodhimtarin\u00eb e saj ushtarake n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, duke e zgjatur edhe m\u00eb tej luft\u00ebn.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dob\u00ebsimi i mb\u00ebshtetjes iraniane p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb<\/b><\/p>\n

Irani ka qen\u00eb furnizuesi m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm i Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr dron\u00ebt kamikaz\u00eb \u201cShahed\u201d dhe pjes\u00eb t\u00eb tjera p\u00ebr prodhimin e dron\u00ebve. T\u00eb <\/span>dh\u00ebna<\/span><\/a> t\u00eb publikuara nga agjencit\u00eb e inteligjenc\u00ebs per\u00ebndimore konfirmojn\u00eb se qindra dron\u00eb iranian\u00eb jan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb sulme masive kund\u00ebr infrastruktur\u00ebs energjetike ukrainase dhe caqeve t\u00eb tjera q\u00eb nga fillimi i luft\u00ebs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tani q\u00eb burimet e Iranit jan\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruara n\u00eb mbrojtjen nga nj\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb ajrore dhe raketore izraelite, si dhe n\u00eb ruajtjen e stabilitetit t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm pas humbjes s\u00eb krer\u00ebve ushtarak\u00eb dhe shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebve kryesor\u00eb t\u00eb programit b\u00ebrthamor, pritet nd\u00ebrprerje ose reduktim i ndjesh\u00ebm i <\/span>furnizimeve<\/span><\/a> ushtarake drejt Rusis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, \u00e7do sabotim ose goditje ndaj linjave t\u00eb prodhimit t\u00eb dron\u00ebve n\u00eb Iran, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb raportuar se ndodhi nga sulmi izraelit n\u00eb <\/span>Isfahan<\/span><\/a>, do t\u00eb ket\u00eb efekte zinxhir n\u00eb kapacitetet ruse p\u00ebr t\u00eb zhvilluar sulme ajrore efikase. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb, presioni mbi qytetet ukrainase dhe vij\u00ebn e frontit mund t\u00eb zbutet, duke i dh\u00ebn\u00eb ushtris\u00eb ukrainase mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr kund\u00ebrsulme t\u00eb reja.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zhvendosja e prioriteteve strategjike t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb<\/b><\/p>\n

Presidenti Donald Trump n\u00eb disa <\/span>raste<\/span><\/a> ka shprehur hapur skepticizmin p\u00ebr vazhdimin e ndihm\u00ebs p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, duke k\u00ebrkuar q\u00eb vendet europiane t\u00eb marrin m\u00eb shum\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsi. Me Izraelin q\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb ajrore t\u00eb p\u00ebrmasave t\u00eb paprecedenta, SHBA-ja mund t\u00eb riorientoj\u00eb burime ushtarake n\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje t\u00eb Izraelit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00ebshmi e k\u00ebsaj zhvendosjeje strategjike \u00ebsht\u00eb fakti se Trumpi, gjat\u00eb takimit me presidentin ukrainas Volodymyr Zelenskyy, n\u00eb deklarat\u00ebn e tij, ishte i fokusuar kryesisht te lufta mes Izraelit dhe Iranit.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebto zhvillime sugjerojn\u00eb tkurrje potenciale t\u00eb kapaciteteve p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar ndihm\u00ebn ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs dhe v\u00ebmendjen strategjike amerikane ndaj saj. Kjo situat\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsoj\u00eb balanc\u00ebn e fuqis\u00eb n\u00eb fush\u00ebbetej\u00eb p\u00ebr Kievin, i cili edhe ashtu varet shum\u00eb nga armatimet dhe ndihma amerikane.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zhvendosja e burimeve dhe v\u00ebmendjes amerikane drejt Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme krijon boshll\u00ebk t\u00eb menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm n\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjen p\u00ebr Kievin. N\u00eb k\u00ebto rrethana, n\u00ebse Per\u00ebndimi nuk arrin t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb unitetin dhe t\u00eb veproj\u00eb me nj\u00eb strategji t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt p\u00ebr t\u2019u ballafaquar me krizat e nd\u00ebrlidhura q\u00eb po zhvillohen si n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, ashtu edhe n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme, rrezikon jo vet\u00ebm t\u00eb humbas\u00eb ndikimin n\u00eb t\u00eb dy rajonet, por edhe t\u2019u l\u00ebr\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebve p\u00ebrpar\u00ebsi strategjike n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb moment vendimtar t\u00eb zhvillimeve globale.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00eb 13 qershor, Izraeli nisi operacionin ushtarak \u201cOperation Rising Lion\u201d, me q\u00ebllim t\u00eb zhdukjes s\u00eb fuqis\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb Iranit, t\u00eb cil\u00ebn Izraeli e sheh si rrezik ekzistencial. Operacioni p\u00ebrfshiu mbi 100 sulme si objektiva ushtarak\u00eb, qendra t\u00eb k\u00ebrkimeve b\u00ebrthamore dhe selin\u00eb e Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare, mes t\u00eb tjerash.\u00a0 Irani u kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigj me kund\u00ebr-operacionin Operation True Promise […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":402,"featured_media":10426,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[2534,624,1008,998,1000,999,2535],"ppma_author":[688],"class_list":["post-12917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-izrael-iran","tag-kryesore","tag-lufte","tag-politike","tag-politike-e-jashtme","tag-shba","tag-ukraine-rusi"],"authors":[{"term_id":688,"user_id":402,"is_guest":0,"slug":"alfred-marleku","display_name":"Alfred Marleku","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IMG_0067-min-scaled-1-e1725456797811.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IMG_0067-min-scaled-1-e1725456797811.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"Marleku","first_name":"Alfred","description":"Alfred Marleku ka p\u00ebrfunduar studimet bachelor, master dhe ato t\u00eb doktorat\u00ebs n\u00eb shkenca politike. Aktualisht \u00ebsht\u00eb ligj\u00ebrues n\u00eb Kolegjin \u201cUBT\u201d, Fakultetin e Shkencave Politike.\r\n\r\nP\u00ebr shum\u00eb vjet ka punuar si menaxher i projekteve t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb financuara nga Komisioni Evropian, USAID-i, Ambasada Amerikane etj., t\u00eb cilat fokusohen, kryesisht, n\u00eb reformat e arsimit t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb k\u00ebrkim dhe zhvillim (R&D); kthimin e trurit; zhvillimin e plan-programeve n\u00eb harmoni me nevojat e tregut etj. P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj, p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb ka qen\u00eb i angazhuar edhe n\u00eb sektorin publik si k\u00ebshilltar politik n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e bashk\u00ebpunimit juridik nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/402"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12917"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12917\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12918,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12917\/revisions\/12918"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10426"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12917"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=12917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}