{"id":13617,"date":"2025-12-18T15:34:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T13:34:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=13617"},"modified":"2025-12-18T15:34:04","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T13:34:04","slug":"sondazhe-te-rreme-para-zgjedhjeve-te-parakohshme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/disinfo\/sondazhe-te-rreme-para-zgjedhjeve-te-parakohshme\/","title":{"rendered":"Sondazhe t\u00eb rreme para zgjedhjeve t\u00eb parakohshme"},"content":{"rendered":"

Me nisjen zyrtare t\u00eb fushat\u00ebs p\u00ebr zgjedhjet e parakohshme<\/a> t\u00eb 28 dhjetorit, hap\u00ebsira online n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb si zakonisht \u00ebsht\u00eb e mbushur edhe me sondazhe t\u00eb rrejshme q\u00eb pretendojn\u00eb t\u00eb matin disponimin elektoral t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve. T\u00eb shp\u00ebrndara kryesisht n\u00eb \u201cFacebook\u201d nga faqe q\u00eb nuk u dihet pron\u00ebsia, k\u00ebto materiale paraqiten si anketa profesionale t\u00eb realizuara nga kompani t\u00eb njohura vendore ose nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare. Por nj\u00eb hulumtim m\u00eb i thelluar tregon se b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr sondazhe pa asnj\u00eb baz\u00eb kredibile, me kompani q\u00eb nuk ekzistojn\u00eb fare ose nuk kan\u00eb asnj\u00eb histori t\u00eb verifikueshme n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e hulumtimeve dhe matjeve t\u00eb opinionit publik.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb nga postimet m\u00eb t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndara \u00ebsht\u00eb ai i faqes \u201cPlus Media\u201d<\/a>, e cila publikoi m\u00eb 16 dhjetor nj\u00eb grafik\u00eb me titullin \u201cRezultate q\u00eb flasin qart\u00eb: LVV kryeson, PDK ngjitet fuqish\u00ebm<\/em>\u201d. Aty pretendohet se LVV-ja do t\u2019i fitoj\u00eb 33.2 p\u00ebr qind, PDK-ja 31.8 p\u00ebr qind, LDK-ja 20.3 p\u00ebr qind, AAK 9.5 e Nisma 5.2.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"Sondazh

Sondazh i rrem\u00eb<\/p><\/div>\n

Mjet propagandistik <\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u00eb postim nuk ofrohet asnj\u00eb informacion elementar apo veg\u00ebz ku do t\u00eb sqaroheshin gjetjet e anket\u00ebs s\u00eb pretenduar. Nuk dihet kush e ka realizuar sondazhin, sa ka qen\u00eb madh\u00ebsia e mostr\u00ebs, metoda e p\u00ebrzgjedhjes s\u00eb t\u00eb anketuarve apo periudha kohore. Mungesa totale e elementeve thelb\u00ebsore t\u00eb nj\u00eb sondazhi e b\u00ebn k\u00ebt\u00eb postim nj\u00eb produkt tipik propagandistik, q\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb ngjason me nj\u00eb poster politik sesa me nj\u00eb hulumtim serioz. Ky postim ka nxitur mbi 50 reagime, ka marr\u00eb afro 20 shp\u00ebrndarje e mbi 140 komente. Kjo faqe<\/a> ka mbi 14 mij\u00eb ndjek\u00ebs, nuk ofron informacione p\u00ebr pron\u00ebsin\u00eb nd\u00ebrsa \u00ebsht\u00eb hapur n\u00eb gusht t\u00eb 2020-\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Edhe m\u00eb problematik \u00ebsht\u00eb rasti i ashtuquajturit \u201csondazh amerikan<\/a>\u201d, i cili pretendohet se \u00ebsht\u00eb realizuar nga kompania UGBA, e p\u00ebrshkruar si \u201ce njohur p\u00ebr sondazhe t\u00eb besueshme<\/em>\u201d dhe e cituar nga disa faqe lokale. Por verifikimi tregon se nuk ekziston asnj\u00eb kompani e njohur nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtarisht e sondazheve me k\u00ebt\u00eb em\u00ebr, as ndonj\u00eb prani publike apo mediatike q\u00eb do ta konfirmonte aktivitetin e saj. Nuk ka faqe zyrtare, raporte metodologjike, klient\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebparsh\u00ebm apo publikime t\u00eb njohura, elemente k\u00ebto minimale q\u00eb i ka \u00e7do kompani serioze e hulumtimeve.<\/p>\n

Pretendimi se sondazhi \u00ebsht\u00eb realizuar nga 1 deri m\u00eb 10 dhjetor dhe se \u201cmbetet ende i hapur deri m\u00eb 26 dhjetor<\/em>\u201d e ekspozon edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb tendenc\u00ebn q\u00eb manipulimi t\u00eb jet\u00eb i vazhduesh\u00ebm deri n\u00eb dit\u00ebn e votimit. Nj\u00eb sondazh elektoral nuk mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i hapur gjat\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb koh\u00ebs. Ftesa q\u00eb qytetar\u00ebt t\u00eb \u201cjapin vot\u00ebn\u201d p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb platforme si \u201cStrawpoll\u201d e shnd\u00ebrron krejt\u00ebsisht k\u00ebt\u00eb material n\u00eb nj\u00eb anket\u00eb online pa asnj\u00eb vler\u00eb statistikore, t\u00eb maskuar q\u00ebllimisht si sondazh profesional.<\/p>\n

Rezultatet e sondazhit t\u00eb pretenduar<\/a> tregojn\u00eb se gjoja L\u00ebvizja Vet\u00ebvendosje kryeson me 33.1%, e ndjekur nga LDK me 26.9% dhe PDK me 25.2%. AAK renditet me 8%, Nisma me 2.5%, nd\u00ebrsa subjektet tjera s\u00eb bashku p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb rreth 4.3%. Aty jepet edhe grafikoni ilustrues i k\u00ebtyre rezultateve me fotografit\u00eb e lider\u00ebve t\u00eb partive q\u00eb garojn\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 28 dhjetorit. P\u00ebrmbajtja<\/a> q\u00eb ka kjo faqe e krijuar n\u00eb vitin 2017 \u00ebsht\u00eb e ngjashme me ato t\u00eb platformave \u201cclick-bait\u201d, ku brenda saj ka nga anketa p\u00ebr zgjedhje, politik\u00eb, e deri tek lajmet e shouibizit e k\u00ebshillat mjek\u00ebsore.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"Sondazh

Sondazh i rrem\u00eb<\/p><\/div>\n

\u00c7far\u00eb synohet me k\u00ebto sondazhe?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Q\u00ebllimi kryesor i k\u00ebtyre sondazheve t\u00eb rreme nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb informimi i publikut, por ndikimi psikologjik mbi votuesit. P\u00ebrmes krijimit t\u00eb perceptimit se nj\u00eb parti po kryeson bindsh\u00ebm ose se nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cn\u00eb rritje t\u00eb fuqishme<\/em>\u201d, tentohet t\u00eb aktivizohet efekti i turm\u00ebs, i njohur si \u201cbandwagon effect<\/a>\u201d, duke i shtyr\u00eb njer\u00ebzit t\u00eb rreshtohen me at\u00eb q\u00eb perceptohet si fitues. N\u00eb raste t\u00eb tjera, synimi \u00ebsht\u00eb demobilizimi i votuesve t\u00eb subjekteve t\u00eb caktuara duke i bindur se gara tashm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e vendosur.<\/p>\n

Fakti q\u00eb k\u00ebto \u201csondazhe\u201d publikohen pa autor\u00ebsi t\u00eb qart\u00eb dhe nga faqe q\u00eb nuk mbajn\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsi editoriale, tregon p\u00ebr nj\u00eb strategji t\u00eb q\u00ebllimshme dezinformimi, e cila shfryt\u00ebzon munges\u00ebn e edukimit mediatik dhe besimin e verb\u00ebr t\u00eb nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb audienc\u00ebs n\u00eb p\u00ebrmbajtjet e shp\u00ebrndara n\u00eb rrjete sociale.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>Reagimet, mes besimit dhe dyshimit<\/strong><\/p>\n

Reagimet e p\u00ebrdoruesve n\u00eb Facebook ndaj k\u00ebtyre sondazheve jan\u00eb t\u00eb ndara. Nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e komentuesve i marrin rezultatet si t\u00eb mir\u00ebqena, i shp\u00ebrndajn\u00eb ato si \u201cfakte<\/em>\u201d dhe i p\u00ebrdorin p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrforcuar bindjet e tyre politike. Komente si \u201ckjo \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebrteta<\/em>\u201d apo \u201ck\u00ebshtu do t\u00eb dal\u00eb rezultati<\/em>\u201d tregojn\u00eb se sondazhet edhe kur jan\u00eb t\u00eb rreme, arrijn\u00eb t\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb perceptimin publik.<\/p>\n

Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, vihet re edhe nj\u00eb rritje e skepticizmit. Disa p\u00ebrdorues v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb dyshim ekzistenc\u00ebn e kompanive, pyesin p\u00ebr metodologjin\u00eb dhe e quajn\u00eb hapur materialin propagand\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, k\u00ebta z\u00ebra kritik\u00eb shpesh humbin n\u00eb mes t\u00eb v\u00ebllimit t\u00eb madh t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarjeve dhe reagimeve emocionale.<\/p>\n

Publikimi i sondazheve t\u00eb rreme n\u00eb prag zgjedhjesh nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb fenomen i ri n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb, por intensiteti i tyre n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn digjitale po rritet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb. K\u00ebto sondazhe vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb funksionojn\u00eb si mjete t\u00eb pastra manipulimi politik.<\/p>\n

*This article is published as part of the Western Balkans Regional Initiative against disinformation.<\/em>\u00a0\u201cWestern Balkans Anti-Disinformation Hub: exposing malign influences through watchdog journalism.\u201d<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Me nisjen zyrtare t\u00eb fushat\u00ebs p\u00ebr zgjedhjet e parakohshme t\u00eb 28 dhjetorit, hap\u00ebsira online n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb si zakonisht \u00ebsht\u00eb e mbushur edhe me sondazhe t\u00eb rrejshme q\u00eb pretendojn\u00eb t\u00eb matin disponimin elektoral t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve. T\u00eb shp\u00ebrndara kryesisht n\u00eb \u201cFacebook\u201d nga faqe q\u00eb nuk u dihet pron\u00ebsia, k\u00ebto materiale paraqiten si anketa profesionale t\u00eb realizuara nga […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":13620,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1241,363],"tags":[1069,2607,1402],"ppma_author":[28],"class_list":["post-13617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-debunking","category-disinfo","tag-disinfo","tag-elections2025","tag-fake-news"],"authors":[{"term_id":28,"user_id":18,"is_guest":0,"slug":"disinfo","display_name":"Disinfo","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Sbunker_FAKE_NEWS_001-min1647858578.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Sbunker_FAKE_NEWS_001-min1647858578.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"","first_name":"Disinfo","description":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13617"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13617\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13622,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13617\/revisions\/13622"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13620"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13617"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=13617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}