{"id":10764,"date":"2024-12-04T14:08:55","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T12:08:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=10764"},"modified":"2024-12-06T13:07:30","modified_gmt":"2024-12-06T11:07:30","slug":"pse-presidenti-putin-nuk-ka-interes-ta-pershkallezoje-luften-ne-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/opinion\/pse-presidenti-putin-nuk-ka-interes-ta-pershkallezoje-luften-ne-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Pse presidenti Putin nuk ka interes ta p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzoj\u00eb luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Vendimi i presidentit Joe Biden p\u00ebr heqjen e ndales\u00ebs p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e raketave me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb nga Ukraina p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur territorin rus ka rritur duksh\u00ebm tensionet me Rusin\u00eb. K\u00ebto tensione u thelluan m\u00eb tej kur presidenti rus, Vladimir Putin, publikisht e konfirmoi se ushtria ruse kishte goditur qytetin ukrainas t\u00eb Dnipros me nj\u00eb raket\u00eb <\/span>balistike<\/span><\/a> me rreze te mesme si kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigje.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, Putini <\/span>paralajm\u00ebroi<\/span><\/a> se Rusia mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorte k\u00ebt\u00eb arm\u00eb, me nj\u00eb rreze veprimi prej 800 kilometrash, edhe kund\u00ebr vendeve q\u00eb kan\u00eb lejuar Ukrain\u00ebn t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb raketat e tyre p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur Rusin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebto veprime ushtarake dhe deklaratat politike t\u00eb pal\u00ebve t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshira, sipas shum\u00eb <\/span>komentator\u00ebve<\/span><\/a> t\u00eb politik\u00ebs nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, u perceptuan si nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim i situat\u00ebs dhe si nj\u00eb rrezik potencial q\u00eb konflikti mund t\u00eb shp\u00ebrthej\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb <\/span>luft\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, edhe pse n\u00eb dukje t\u00eb par\u00eb deklaratat e lidershipit politik n\u00eb Rusi krijojn\u00eb p\u00ebrshtypjen se nj\u00eb luft\u00eb e re bot\u00ebrore nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb larg, n\u00ebse analizohet me kujdes sjellja e Putinit gjat\u00eb muajve t\u00eb fundit, v\u00ebrehet nj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbajtje p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzuar konfliktin n\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me Per\u00ebndimin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo p\u00ebrfshin edhe p\u00ebrdorimin e raketave t\u00eb reja me rreze t\u00eb mesme, hipersonike dhe t\u00eb afta p\u00ebr ngarkes\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore kund\u00ebr objektivave ukrainase, nj\u00eb veprim q\u00eb, megjith\u00ebse tregon fuqin\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur me kujdes p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos provokuar nj\u00eb reagim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb nga NATO-ja.<\/span><\/p>\n

Arsyet p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb p\u00ebrmbajtje jan\u00eb t\u00eb shumta dhe strategjike. Fillimisht, Putini \u00ebsht\u00eb duke fituar terren n\u00eb <\/span>fush\u00ebbetej<\/span>\u00eb<\/span><\/a>. Rusia ka m\u00eb shum\u00eb trupa n\u00eb vijat e frontit, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb ato nga <\/span>Koreja e Veriut<\/span><\/a>, <\/span>Jemeni<\/span><\/a> dhe mercenar\u00eb nga vende t\u00eb tjera. Gjithashtu, forcat ruse po marrin m\u00eb shum\u00eb territor n\u00eb juglindje t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, me nj\u00eb rit\u00ebm m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontekst, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i luft\u00ebs me shtetet per\u00ebndimore do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb rrezik i madh p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, me \u00e7\u2019rast do t\u00eb prishte baraspesh\u00ebn e forcave ushtarake.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00eb dyti, presidenti i rizgjedhur amerikan, Donald Trump, ka koh\u00eb q\u00eb deklaron se \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb i interesuar t\u2019i jap\u00eb fund k\u00ebsaj lufte, madje duke premtuar se kjo gj\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb brenda <\/span>dit\u00ebs<\/span><\/a> s\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb marrjes s\u00eb mandatit t\u00eb ri. P\u00ebr Putinin, nj\u00eb ndryshim n\u00eb udh\u00ebheqjen amerikane \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte m\u00eb e favorshme p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb drejtim, mosp\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i m\u00ebtutjesh\u00ebm i konfliktit mund t\u00eb kontribuoj\u00eb drejt krijimit t\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebs p\u00ebr administrat\u00ebn e ardhshme amerikane p\u00ebr negociata potenciale.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00eb treti, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i luft\u00ebs do t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptonte nj\u00eb kosto m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb. Sanksionet e vendosura nga Per\u00ebndimi kan\u00eb pasur ndikim negativ n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb ruse dhe nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim eventual i konfliktit do t\u00eb prodhonte pasoja edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnda. Putini e ka t\u00eb qart\u00eb se, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtur mb\u00ebshtetjen e brendshme, ai duhet t\u00eb shmang\u00eb nj\u00eb konflikt q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsim dramatik t\u00eb kushteve t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs p\u00ebr qytetar\u00ebt rus\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt ve\u00e7se jan\u00eb duke i p\u00ebrjetuar pasojat e luft\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i konfliktit do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb rrezik i madh edhe p\u00ebr Per\u00ebndimin. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja se p\u00ebrse SHBA-ja, Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar dhe Franca, pavar\u00ebsisht mb\u00ebshtetjes p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb kujdesshme n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si e kan\u00eb menaxhuar situat\u00ebn, duke u p\u00ebrpjekur t\u00eb shmangin nj\u00eb konfrontim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me <\/span>Rusin\u00eb<\/span><\/a>. Edhe me dh\u00ebnien e lejes p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e raketave t\u00eb tyre p\u00ebr t\u00eb sulmuar objektiva brenda Rusis\u00eb, Per\u00ebndimi po e kalon k\u00ebt\u00eb kufi me kujdes t\u00eb shtuar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo strategji e p\u00ebrmbajtjes nga t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt tregon se, megjith\u00ebse retorika \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzuar, asnj\u00ebra pal\u00eb nuk ka interes p\u00ebr t\u00eb \u00e7uar konfliktin n\u00eb nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb pakontrolluesh\u00ebm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nga perspektiva e Putinit, ai tashm\u00eb po arrin disa nga q\u00ebllimet e tij strategjike: ai ka konsoliduar kontrollin mbi disa territore n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe ka arritur t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb Per\u00ebndimin n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozicion ku ata jan\u00eb t\u00eb kujdessh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos e provokuar tej mase Rusin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Putini po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb avantazhin n\u00eb frontin e luft\u00ebs, duke p\u00ebrdorur nj\u00eb retorik\u00eb agresive dhe k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuese, por n\u00eb \u00e7do rast duke nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim t\u00eb kontrolluar. Shpeshher\u00eb, n\u00eb deklarimet e tij, ai n\u00ebnvizon se \u00ebsht\u00eb i hapur p\u00ebr <\/span>negociata<\/span><\/a>, nd\u00ebrsa vazhdon t\u00eb tregoj\u00eb fuqin\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb dhe t\u00eb paralajm\u00ebroj\u00eb Per\u00ebndimin p\u00ebr pasojat e mundshme t\u00eb veprimeve t\u00eb tyre.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontekst, duke marr\u00eb parasysh baraspesh\u00ebn e forcave n\u00eb terren, rikthimin e Trumpit n\u00eb Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb n\u00eb janar t\u00eb 2025-t\u00ebs dhe rrezikun potencial q\u00eb mund t\u00eb paraqes\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb e mundshme me vendet e NATO-s, duket se n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb faz\u00eb Putini nuk ka interes t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzoj\u00eb luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vendimi i presidentit Joe Biden p\u00ebr heqjen e ndales\u00ebs p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e raketave me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb nga Ukraina p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur territorin rus ka rritur duksh\u00ebm tensionet me Rusin\u00eb. K\u00ebto tensione u thelluan m\u00eb tej kur presidenti rus, Vladimir Putin, publikisht e konfirmoi se ushtria ruse kishte goditur qytetin ukrainas t\u00eb Dnipros me nj\u00eb […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":402,"featured_media":10426,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[624,998,1975,1117,671],"ppma_author":[688],"class_list":["post-10764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-kryesore","tag-politike","tag-putin","tag-rusi","tag-ukraine"],"authors":[{"term_id":688,"user_id":402,"is_guest":0,"slug":"alfred-marleku","display_name":"Alfred Marleku","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IMG_0067-min-scaled-1-e1725456797811.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IMG_0067-min-scaled-1-e1725456797811.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"Marleku","first_name":"Alfred","description":"Alfred Marleku ka p\u00ebrfunduar studimet bachelor, master dhe ato t\u00eb doktorat\u00ebs n\u00eb shkenca politike. Aktualisht \u00ebsht\u00eb ligj\u00ebrues n\u00eb Kolegjin \u201cUBT\u201d, Fakultetin e Shkencave Politike.\r\n\r\nP\u00ebr shum\u00eb vjet ka punuar si menaxher i projekteve t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb financuara nga Komisioni Evropian, USAID-i, Ambasada Amerikane etj., t\u00eb cilat fokusohen, kryesisht, n\u00eb reformat e arsimit t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb k\u00ebrkim dhe zhvillim (R&D); kthimin e trurit; zhvillimin e plan-programeve n\u00eb harmoni me nevojat e tregut etj. P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj, p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb ka qen\u00eb i angazhuar edhe n\u00eb sektorin publik si k\u00ebshilltar politik n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e bashk\u00ebpunimit juridik nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10764","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/402"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10764"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10764\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10765,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10764\/revisions\/10765"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10426"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10764"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10764"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10764"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=10764"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}