{"id":5960,"date":"2022-02-22T15:51:28","date_gmt":"2022-02-22T13:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=5960"},"modified":"2024-10-15T15:53:02","modified_gmt":"2024-10-15T13:53:02","slug":"jo-nenshtrim-andaj-okupim-lufta-e-re-ne-horizont-dhe-qasja-e-kosoves","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/analize\/jo-nenshtrim-andaj-okupim-lufta-e-re-ne-horizont-dhe-qasja-e-kosoves\/","title":{"rendered":"Jo n\u00ebnshtrim, andaj okupim: lufta e re n\u00eb horizont dhe qasja e Kosov\u00ebs"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Presidenti rus njihet p\u00ebr akuzat e shpeshta kundruall Per\u00ebndimit, duke e cil\u00ebsuar shpeshher\u00eb si imperialiste dhe hipokrite. Megjithat\u00eb, sjellja e saj karshi fqinjve ka qen\u00eb e vendosur shpeshher\u00eb n\u00eb paradoks me k\u00ebt\u00eb premis\u00eb. Ai nuk ka hezituar q\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrkrah\u00eb financiarisht edhe disa qeveri tejet t\u00eb korruptuara n\u00eb rajon. Poashtu, ai ka shantazhuar ekonomikisht dhe politikisht autokrat\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb hezituar q\u00eb t\u00b4i n\u00ebnshtrohen interesave ruse. Kur k\u00ebto mjete nuk kan\u00eb funksionuar, Rusia nuk ka hezituar p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur fuqin\u00eb e saj t\u00eb fort\u00eb. K\u00ebshtu, nd\u00ebr vite, Rusia ka pushtuar Gjeorgjin\u00eb, ka aneksuar Krimen\u00eb dhe ka p\u00ebrkrahur aktivisht seperatist\u00ebt rus\u00eb n\u00eb rajonet e tjera t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs lindore. Ajo ka nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb k\u00ebto veprime n\u00ebn pretekstin e mbrojtjes s\u00eb sfer\u00ebs s\u00eb saj s\u00eb influenc\u00ebs dhe n\u00ebn ruajtjen e interesave t\u00eb siguris\u00eb ruse, por n\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, k\u00ebto veprime kan\u00eb pasur efektin e kund\u00ebrt, sidomos n\u00eb rastin e Ukrain\u00ebs. K\u00ebt\u00eb veprime kan\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar substancialisht lidhjet kulturore, politike dhe sociale t\u00eb popullit rus dhe ukrainas.<\/p>\n

Ukraina \u00ebsht\u00eb tani m\u00eb e vendosur se kurr\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb pjes\u00eb e NATO-s dhe BE-s\u00eb. N\u00eb k\u00ebto rrethana, Putini ka vler\u00ebsuar k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin p\u00ebr nj\u00eb konfrontim t\u00eb hapur ushtarak, si alternativ\u00eb t\u00eb fundit p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndalur aspiratat euro-atlantike t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs. Megjithat\u00eb, pozicionet diametralisht t\u00eb kund\u00ebrta e kan\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsuar substancialisht gjetjen e nj\u00eb zgjidhjeje q\u00eb do t\u00eb de-eskalonte situat\u00ebn. Pavar\u00ebsisht refuzimeve nga autoritetet ruse p\u00ebr t\u00eb pranuar se kan\u00eb synim p\u00ebr t\u00eb pushtuar Ukrain\u00ebn, fakti se 180 mij\u00eb ushtar\u00eb t\u00eb saj ndodhen n\u00eb pozicion sulmues n\u00eb kufi me Ukrain\u00ebn krijojn\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshtypje tjeter.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb, duket q\u00eb Kremlini e ka ndar\u00eb mendjen. Konflikti nuk do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb anashkalohet n\u00ebse\u00a0k\u00ebrkesa ruse p\u00ebr garantimin e mosinkuadrimit t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb NATO nuk plot\u00ebsohet<\/a>, gj\u00eb q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb e qart\u00eb q\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb. Andaj, Rusia tanim\u00eb ve\u00e7se ka vendosur p\u00ebr p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin e konflikit me vendimin e saj t\u00eb fundit q\u00eb t\u00eb njoh\u00eb\u00a0pavar\u00ebsin\u00eb e dy rajoneve ukrainase<\/a>\u00a0(t\u00eb ashtuquajturat Republik\u00eb t\u00eb Donetsk-ut dhe at\u00eb t\u00eb Luhansku-t), t\u00eb cilat kan\u00eb nj\u00eb num\u00ebr t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve rus\u00eb. Njohja e pavar\u00ebsis\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre dy rajoneve seperatiste do t\u00eb ket\u00eb rol t\u00eb dyfisht\u00eb. S\u00eb pari, do t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb si justifikim p\u00ebr pushtimin e Ukrain\u00ebs. N\u00eb nj\u00ebrin skenar, Rusia do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb nga Ukraina q\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00ebrheq\u00eb trupat e saja t\u00eb armatosura nga hap\u00ebsira territoriale e rajoneve separatiste ose t\u00eb pregatitet p\u00ebr konfrontim me trupat ruse,\u00a0t\u00eb cilat sipas ve\u00e7se jan\u00eb urdh\u00ebruar q\u00eb t\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb territorin e k\u00ebtyre rajoneve<\/a>, n\u00ebn pretekstin e mbrojtjes s\u00eb seperatist\u00ebve rus\u00eb nga ajo q\u00eb Kremlini interpreton si \u201esulm ukrainas ndaj popull\u00ebsis\u00eb ruse\u201c.<\/p>\n

Autoritetet ukrainase nuk kan\u00eb se si t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigjen pozitivisht k\u00ebsaj k\u00ebrkese p\u00ebr t\u00ebrheqjen e trupave t\u00eb saj, edhe po t\u00eb ekzistonte vullneti politik n\u00eb Kiev (gj\u00eb q\u00eb nuk mund t\u00eb ekzistoj\u00eb). Kjo, sepse \u00e7do dakordim p\u00ebr largim t\u00eb trupave nga rajonet seperatiste n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb do t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptonte shkeljen e Kushtetut\u00ebs s\u00eb vendit dhe njohje\u00a0de facto\u00a0<\/em>t\u00eb rajoneve seperatiste si t\u00eb pavarura. Stabiliteti politik n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb do t\u00eb prishej dhe Ukraina do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballej me probleme serioze t\u00eb brendshme politike. Poashtu, nuk ekziston asnj\u00eb garanci q\u00eb Rusia nuk do t\u00eb shpikte ndonj\u00eb pretekst tjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr t\u00eb pushtuar Ukrain\u00ebn, edhe n\u00ebse kjo e fundit do t\u00eb pajtohej me k\u00ebrkesat e papranueshme ruse. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, ky veprim do t\u00eb kishte nj\u00eb ndikim t\u00eb tmerrsh\u00ebm n\u00eb moralin e ushtris\u00eb dhe popullat\u00ebs ukrainase. T\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto do t\u00eb motivonin edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb Rusin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur k\u00ebrkesat n\u00ebn k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin e p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit t\u00eb situat\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Me nj\u00eb fjal\u00eb, Rusia do t\u00eb vendoste q\u00ebllimsh\u00ebm Ukrain\u00ebn n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozit\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb palakmueshme, e cila n\u00eb loj\u00ebn e shahut njihet si \u201eZugzwang\u201c,<\/em>\u00a0ku \u00e7do l\u00ebvizje e mundshme e kund\u00ebrshtarit \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb disfavor t\u00eb tij. N\u00eb k\u00ebto rrethana, pavar\u00ebsisht se \u00e7far\u00eb vendimi do t\u00eb mirrnin autoritetet ukrainese, situata p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohej n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb konsiderueshme.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar tjet\u00ebr, \u00ebsht\u00eb leht\u00eb e imagjinueshme q\u00eb t\u00eb\u00a0inskenohen pretekse<\/a>\u00a0sikur sulmet kundrejt ushtris\u00eb ruse apo qytetar\u00ebve rus\u00eb, q\u00eb pastaj t\u00eb justifikohet pushtimi rus i Ukrain\u00ebs. P\u00ebrderisa ende nuk dihet sakt\u00ebsisht se si do t\u00eb rrjedhin gj\u00ebrat n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhm\u00ebn e af\u00ebrt, ve njohja e pavar\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb rajoneve ukrainase ka qart\u00ebsuar di\u00e7ka: n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb me shum\u00eb gjas\u00eb do t\u00eb ket\u00eb luft\u00eb.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb dyti, Rusia dhe Serbia do t\u00eb ken\u00eb interes t\u00eb ve\u00e7ant\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb tentuar krijimin e paraleleve n\u00eb mes t\u00eb rastit t\u00eb shpalljes s\u00eb pavar\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs dhe at\u00eb t\u00eb rajoneve seperatiste ukrainase.\u00a0Rusia ve\u00e7se ka filluar t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb Kosov\u00ebn n\u00eb ekuacion.<\/a>\u00a0Ajo do t\u00eb provoj\u00eb t\u00eb paraqes\u00eb aleat\u00ebt tan\u00eb si hipokrit\u00eb, duke qen\u00eb q\u00eb ata njoh\u00ebn Kosov\u00ebn si t\u00eb pavarur nd\u00ebrsa Rusin\u00eb do e vendosin n\u00ebn sanksione t\u00eb r\u00ebnda p\u00ebr njohjen e pavar\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb rajoneve ukrainase. Kosova nuk duhet t\u00eb rresht\u00eb s\u00eb theksuari dallimin drastik n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si ka ardhur tek shpallja e pavar\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb Republik\u00ebs son\u00eb. Forcat ushtarake dhe paramilitare serbe kryen gjenocid ndaj popull\u00ebsis\u00eb civile shqiptare. Vran\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb, gra dhe pleq. Shkat\u00ebrruan \u00e7do t\u00eb mir\u00eb materiale ton\u00ebn dhe p\u00ebrdhunuan mbi 20 mij\u00eb gra shqiptare. T\u00eb njejt\u00ebn e b\u00ebn\u00eb edhe n\u00eb Kroaci dhe Bosnje e Hercegovin\u00eb. Krimet e saj jan\u00eb t\u00eb dokumentuara mjaft mir\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr, sjellja e qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb diametralisht e kundert n\u00eb raport me at\u00eb t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb. As edhe nj\u00eb raport i vet\u00ebm kredibil nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar nuk ofron indikacione p\u00ebr nj\u00eb situat\u00eb ndryshe. P\u00ebrkundrazi,\u00a0Ukraina ka shpejtuar tranzicionin e saj drejt demokracis\u00eb<\/a>\u00a0dhe \u00ebshte m\u00eb e hapur e m\u00eb miq\u00ebsore se m\u00eb par\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb qytetar\u00ebt e saj. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, askush nuk do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb besoj\u00eb q\u00eb nj\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb e dob\u00ebt se Rusia, do t\u00eb ishte e gatshme t\u00eb sulmonte seperatist\u00ebt rus\u00eb apo popull\u00ebsin\u00eb ruse, n\u00eb koh\u00ebn kur ajo \u00ebsht\u00eb e rrethuar n\u00eb tri an\u00eb nga m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 180 mij\u00eb ushtar\u00eb rus\u00eb. Edhe po t\u00eb mos kishte fare forca t\u00eb armatosura ruse n\u00eb kufi, nj\u00eb supozim i till\u00eb do t\u00eb konsiderohej si marr\u00ebzi.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb fund, Kosova do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret si lev\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebr\u00e7ar\u00eb dhe dob\u00ebsuar pozicionin e BE-s\u00eb, duke marr\u00eb parasysh faktin se ka mospajtime n\u00eb lidhje me statusin nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs brenda vendeve an\u00ebtar\u00eb. Autoritetet e Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs duhet t\u00eb shfryt\u00ebzojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt\u00ebn: t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb pozicionin e saj nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar dhe t\u00eb rikthej\u00eb v\u00ebmendjen e aleat\u00ebve per\u00ebndimor\u00eb tek r\u00ebnd\u00ebsia e integrimit p\u00ebrfundimtar t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, sidomos n\u00eb NATO dhe m\u00eb von\u00eb dikur edhe n\u00eb BE.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Presidenti rus njihet p\u00ebr akuzat e shpeshta kundruall Per\u00ebndimit, duke e cil\u00ebsuar shpeshher\u00eb si imperialiste dhe hipokrite. Megjithat\u00eb, sjellja e saj karshi fqinjve ka qen\u00eb e vendosur shpeshher\u00eb n\u00eb paradoks me k\u00ebt\u00eb premis\u00eb. Ai nuk ka hezituar q\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrkrah\u00eb financiarisht edhe disa qeveri tejet t\u00eb korruptuara n\u00eb rajon. Poashtu, ai ka shantazhuar ekonomikisht dhe […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":333,"featured_media":8367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[1043,972,637,671],"ppma_author":[345],"class_list":["post-5960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analize","tag-be","tag-kosove","tag-nato","tag-ukraine"],"authors":[{"term_id":345,"user_id":333,"is_guest":0,"slug":"vigan-sejdiu","display_name":"Vigan Sejdiu","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/1687082452101.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/1687082452101.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"Sejdiu","first_name":"Vigan","description":"Vigan Sejdiu \u00ebsht\u00eb student n\u00eb nivelin Master t\u00eb Shkencave Politike, me fokus n\u00eb Politiken e Jashtme dhe Diplomaci, n\u00eb Universitetin e Vjen\u00ebs, Austri."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/333"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5960"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5960\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8368,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5960\/revisions\/8368"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5960"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=5960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}