{"id":8091,"date":"2016-09-29T15:15:49","date_gmt":"2016-09-29T13:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=8091"},"modified":"2024-10-09T15:21:23","modified_gmt":"2024-10-09T13:21:23","slug":"ballkani-pa-be-ne-ne-meshiren-e-carit-te-rusise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/analize\/ballkani-pa-be-ne-ne-meshiren-e-carit-te-rusise\/","title":{"rendered":"Ballkani pa BE-n\u00eb, n\u00eb m\u00ebshir\u00ebn e Carit t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cDuhet t\u00eb m\u00ebsoheni me faktin se jeni vet\u00ebm dhe pa mb\u00ebshtetjen e BE-s\u00eb\u201d.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Ky ishte mesazhi t\u00eb cilin e p\u00ebr\u00e7oi jav\u00ebn e kaluar n\u00eb Forumin e Donator\u00ebve t\u00eb Ballkanit t\u00eb mbajtur n\u00eb Beograd, analistja e njohur e politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme dhe e \u00e7\u00ebshtjeve europiane nga instituti Carnegie Endowment, Judiy Dempsey, n\u00eb nj\u00eb fjalim t\u00eb kthjell\u00ebt dhe alarmues (<\/span>p\u00ebr t\u00eb cilin shkroi m\u00eb gjer\u00ebsisht n\u00eb bllogun e saj<\/span><\/a>).<\/span><\/p>\n

Se Ballkani si rajon ka r\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb fund t\u00eb list\u00ebs s\u00eb prioriteteve n\u00eb Bruksel dhe n\u00eb kryeqytetet e vendeve t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb, kjo dihej prej koh\u00ebsh. Forumet kryesore t\u00eb vendimmarrjes jan\u00eb kthyer n\u00eb zjarrfik\u00ebs krizash t\u00eb m\u00ebdha si ajo e imigrant\u00ebve, kriza e eurozon\u00ebs, rritja e ekstremeve, dalja e Britanis\u00eb s\u00eb Madhe \u2013 kriza k\u00ebto q\u00eb po e v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb pik\u00ebpyetje vet\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen e BE-s\u00eb s\u00eb cil\u00ebs Ballkani ia ka m\u00ebsyr\u00eb. Zgjerimi i BE-s\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb tema p\u00ebr t\u00eb cil\u00ebn askush m\u00eb nuk flet seriozisht n\u00eb nivelin e lart\u00eb politik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si duket nj\u00eb rajon \u201ci l\u00ebn\u00eb vet\u00ebm\u201d dhe pa rolin aktiv t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb? Duke mos qen\u00eb \u201cspiranc\u00eb\u201d vlerash dhe frym\u00ebzim p\u00ebr reforma institucionale, BE-ja u l\u00ebshon rrug\u00eb lider\u00ebve t\u00eb Ballkanit p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar pa penges\u00eb praktik\u00ebn e autoritarizmit dhe u l\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb popullist\u00ebve p\u00ebr t\u00eb na kthyer drejt konflikteve t\u00eb vjetra etnike. Duke mos ofruar perspektiv\u00eb t\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimit, zbehen edhe investimet e huaja dhe perspektiva ekonomike.<\/span><\/p>\n

E gjith\u00eb kjo e b\u00ebn Ballkanin terren t\u00eb p\u00ebllesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritjen e ndikimit destruktiv dhe hegjemonik t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe arsyeja kryesore p\u00ebrse n\u00eb sbunker sot po e nisim bllogun tematik Kremlin Shah, ku rregullisht do t\u2019i ndjekim zhvillimet n\u00eb Ballkan dhe n\u00eb bot\u00eb nga prizmi i ndikimit t\u00eb politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme ruse.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusia, <\/span>si\u00e7 raportonte s\u00eb fundmi edhe Washington Post,<\/span><\/a> e sheh Ballkanin si nj\u00eb rajon t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm dhe strategjik, dhe ka plan afatgjat\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndikuar n\u00eb agjendat politike t\u00eb \u00e7do shteti. K\u00ebt\u00eb e b\u00ebn pik\u00eb s\u00eb pari duke ndikuar (p\u00ebrmes sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb saja) n\u00eb diskursin e mediave, me synimin p\u00ebr ta kthyer opinionin kund\u00ebr per\u00ebndimit dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar zgjerimin e BE-s\u00eb dhe NATO-s n\u00eb sferat e veta t\u00eb interesit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Strategjia afatgjate e Carit t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ballkan \u00ebsht\u00eb ana tjet\u00ebr e medaljes s\u00eb strategjis\u00eb s\u00eb tij ndaj vendeve per\u00ebndimore, ku p\u00ebrmes thellimit t\u00eb p\u00ebr\u00e7arjeve brenda dhe mes shteteve t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb dhe NATO-s synon paralizimin e vendimmarrjes n\u00eb k\u00ebto dy institucione, p\u00ebr t\u2019i b\u00ebr\u00eb ato joefektive n\u00eb raport me agresivitetin e Rusis\u00eb. Si\u00e7 edhe pati sukses<\/span> tani s\u00eb voni<\/span><\/a>, n\u00eb krijimin e p\u00ebr\u00e7arjeve mes SHBA dhe vendeve ky\u00e7e europiane rreth vazhdimit ose jo t\u00eb sanksioneve ndaj Rusis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontekst m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb, t\u00eb shpjeguar m\u00eb gjer\u00ebsisht edhe <\/span>n\u00eb nj\u00eb shkrim t\u00eb m\u00ebparsh\u00ebm n\u00eb sbunker<\/span><\/a>, Ballkani \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht nj\u00ebra nd\u00ebr hap\u00ebsirat e brishta n\u00eb tabel\u00ebn e shahut ku Rusia gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb ardhshme mund t\u00eb provokoj\u00eb dhe t\u00eb nxis\u00eb konflikte kund\u00ebr interesave t\u00eb bot\u00ebs demokratike, t\u00eb ngjashme me at\u00eb q\u00eb desh shp\u00ebrtheu vitin q\u00eb shkoi n\u00eb Maqedoni, apo me referendumin provokues t\u00eb Republika Srpska n\u00eb Bosnje (<\/span>t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur nga Rusia<\/span><\/a>).<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb mbizot\u00ebron nj\u00eb gjendje e paqes s\u00eb brisht\u00eb, me luftime sporadike n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt lindore t\u00eb vendit dhe me Krimen\u00eb tashm\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht t\u00eb integruar n\u00eb Rusi. N\u00eb Siri duket t\u00eb jet\u00eb <\/span>n\u00eb prag t\u00eb d\u00ebshtimit negociatat mes SHBA-ve dhe Rusis\u00eb<\/span><\/a> p\u00ebr nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje t\u00eb paqes. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb larg mendsh se edhe Ballkani, me gjith\u00eb ndasit\u00eb dhe plag\u00ebt e veta t\u00eb pash\u00ebruara, mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhet pjes\u00eb e k\u00ebsaj \u00e7orbe t\u00eb trazuar.<\/span><\/p>\n

A ka hap\u00ebsir\u00eb p\u00ebr shpres\u00eb n\u00eb Ballkan, dhe a mund t\u00eb m\u00ebsohemi t\u00eb jetojm\u00eb pa BE-n\u00eb (qoft\u00eb p\u00ebrkoh\u00ebsisht, qoft\u00eb edhe p\u00ebrjet\u00ebsisht) duke i pasur parasysh superfuqit\u00eb rajonale q\u00eb historikisht kan\u00eb abuzuar me p\u00ebr\u00e7arjet dhe konfliktet tona etnike, p\u00ebr hesap t\u00eb agjendave t\u00eb tyre hegjemonike? A ka shpes\u00eb p\u00ebr shqiptar\u00ebt marr\u00eb parasysh elitat tona t\u00eb paafta dhe t\u00eb korruptuara politike?<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00eb vetmen fije shprese e mbajn\u00eb gjall\u00eb amerikan\u00ebt t\u00eb cil\u00ebt ashtu k\u00ebshtu gjithmon\u00eb kan\u00eb qen\u00eb boshti i siguris\u00eb dhe stabilitetit p\u00ebr Ballkanit. Politika e BE-s\u00eb k\u00ebtu ashtu k\u00ebshtu rrall\u00eb ishte efektive n\u00eb krijimin e nj\u00eb stabiliteti t\u00eb q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm dhe zhvillimi, sidomos n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebt\u00eb e pohoi n\u00eb konferenc\u00ebn e donator\u00ebve edhe Judy Dempsey kur tha tro\u00e7 se \u201crezultatet e BE-s\u00eb n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb dhe Bosnje jan\u00eb katastrofale dhe t\u00eb turpshme. Shyqyr zotit q\u00eb aty jan\u00eb amerikan\u00ebt!\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Por fatkeq\u00ebsisht, edhe mburoja amerikan\u00eb ndaj ndikimit rus nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e sigurt, sepse me 8 n\u00ebntor<\/span> mund t\u00eb na vij\u00eb Trampokalipsi<\/span><\/a>. Ekuivalenti i nj\u00eb Shah Mat p\u00ebr Carin e Rusis\u00eb.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cDuhet t\u00eb m\u00ebsoheni me faktin se jeni vet\u00ebm dhe pa mb\u00ebshtetjen e BE-s\u00eb\u201d. Ky ishte mesazhi t\u00eb cilin e p\u00ebr\u00e7oi jav\u00ebn e kaluar n\u00eb Forumin e Donator\u00ebve t\u00eb Ballkanit t\u00eb mbajtur n\u00eb Beograd, analistja e njohur e politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme dhe e \u00e7\u00ebshtjeve europiane nga instituti Carnegie Endowment, Judiy Dempsey, n\u00eb nj\u00eb fjalim t\u00eb kthjell\u00ebt […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":276,"featured_media":8141,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[1260],"ppma_author":[274],"class_list":["post-8091","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analize","tag-kremlinshah"],"authors":[{"term_id":274,"user_id":276,"is_guest":0,"slug":"kremlin-shah","display_name":"Kremlin Shah","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/kremlin-shah-black-and-white-v21475494795.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/kremlin-shah-black-and-white-v21475494795.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"Shah","first_name":"Kremlin","description":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/276"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8091"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8091\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8142,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8091\/revisions\/8142"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8091"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=8091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}