{"id":8106,"date":"2024-10-09T11:08:44","date_gmt":"2024-10-09T09:08:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=8106"},"modified":"2024-10-09T11:09:43","modified_gmt":"2024-10-09T09:09:43","slug":"zgjerimi-i-konfliktit-ne-lindjen-e-mesme-izraeli-hap-front-te-ri-ne-veri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/opinion\/zgjerimi-i-konfliktit-ne-lindjen-e-mesme-izraeli-hap-front-te-ri-ne-veri\/","title":{"rendered":"Zgjerimi i konfliktit n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme: Izraeli hap front t\u00eb ri n\u00eb veri"},"content":{"rendered":"

Luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Gaza nuk po i duket fundi, tash kur po afron nj\u00ebvjetori i sulmit t\u00eb Hamasit n\u00eb Izrael, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin mbet\u00ebn t\u00eb vrar\u00eb rreth <\/span>1,200 persona<\/span><\/a>, nd\u00ebrkaq u mor\u00ebn <\/span>251 pengje izraelite<\/span><\/a>, prej t\u00eb cil\u00ebve 97 akoma po mbahen n\u00eb Gaza.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigje p\u00ebr sulmin e Hamasit n\u00eb Izrael, deri m\u00eb tani, ushtria izraelite ka shkaktuar vdekjen e mbi <\/span>40 mij\u00eb viktima<\/span>ve<\/span><\/a> civile n\u00eb Gaza, n\u00eb mesin e tyre rreth 16 mij\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraeli tashm\u00eb n\u00eb mas\u00eb t\u00eb madhe e ka humbur simpatin\u00eb e publikut per\u00ebndimor. Si rezultat, ka pasur edhe ndryshime t\u00eb q\u00ebndrimeve politike p\u00ebr Palestin\u00ebn nga disa shtete.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr shembull, Norvegjia, Irlanda dhe Spanja tanim\u00eb e kan\u00eb njohur pavar\u00ebsin\u00eb e Palestin\u00ebs dhe ky trend do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb tutje p\u00ebr sa koh\u00eb q\u00eb Izraeli tregohet i pap\u00ebrmbajtur dhe akter destabilizues n\u00eb rajon.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr t\u2019u kthyer n\u00eb normalitet, arm\u00ebpushimi \u00ebsht\u00eb i domosdosh\u00ebm, bashk\u00eb me kthimin e pengjeve nga Hamasi dhe me rifillimin e p\u00ebrpjekjeve serioze p\u00ebr krijimin e dy shteteve – Izraelit dhe Palestin\u00ebs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Por, kjo gj\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundonte karrier\u00ebn politike t\u00eb Benjamin Netanyahut, i cili po ballafaqohet me protesta gjith\u00ebpopullore n\u00eb Izrael. N\u00eb vend t\u00eb paqes, Netanyahu ka zgjedhur p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin, duke hapur nj\u00eb front t\u00eb ri kund\u00ebr Hezbollahut n\u00eb Liban, duke sulmuar caqe iraniane anek\u00ebnd rajonit, si dhe duke bombarduar Jemenin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hapja e frontit t\u00eb ri me Hezbollahun<\/b><\/p>\n

Pavar\u00ebsisht k\u00ebrkesave t\u00eb vazhdueshme p\u00ebr arm\u00ebpushim prej anek\u00ebnd bot\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndaluar konfliktin n\u00eb Gaza, Izraeli ka vazhduar q\u00eb krye m\u00eb vete ta intensifikoj\u00eb tutje sulmin e tij. Izraeli tashm\u00eb ka hapur <\/span>nj\u00eb front tjet\u00ebr<\/span><\/a> n\u00eb veri <\/span>me Hezbollahun, duke i sulmuar krer\u00ebt dhe pikat operative t\u00eb k\u00ebtij t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb Liban.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hezbollahu \u00ebsht\u00eb organizat\u00eb politike dhe paramilitare Shi’ite e fokusuar kryesisht n\u00eb Liban, e cila g\u00ebzon mb\u00ebshtetje financiare dhe politike nga Irani. Hezbollahu \u00ebsht\u00eb formuar n\u00eb vitin 1982, p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb trazirave n\u00eb Liban, kur Izraeli kishte filluar okupimin e Libanit Jugor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Q\u00ebllimi primar i Hezbollahut fillimisht ka qen\u00eb \u00e7lirimi nga okupimi izraelit, mir\u00ebpo Hezbollahu e ka shfryt\u00ebzuar mund\u00ebsin\u00eb edhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur influenc\u00ebn shi\u2019ite n\u00eb politik\u00ebn libaneze t\u00eb dominuar nga sunnit\u00ebt dhe pakica e krishter\u00eb maronite.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Si l\u00ebvizje politike, Hezbollahu merr pjes\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhjet libaneze q\u00eb nga viti 1992 dhe aktualisht bashk\u00eb me aleat\u00ebt e vet kontrollon <\/span>62 ul\u00ebse<\/span><\/a> n\u00eb parlamentin libanez, duke pasur k\u00ebshtu ndikim t\u00eb madh politik.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, shkat\u00ebrrimi i Izraelit ka qen\u00eb dhe vazhdon t\u00eb jet\u00eb q\u00ebllimi kryesor i Hezbollahut, i cili n\u00eb vazhdim\u00ebsi ka nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb sulme kund\u00ebr territorit izraelit dhe kund\u00ebr aktivist\u00ebve hebrenj edhe n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera per\u00ebndimore.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hezbollahu p\u00ebrllogaritet t\u00eb ket\u00eb mbi <\/span>200 mij\u00eb raketa<\/span><\/a>, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb Hezbollahun grupin joshtet\u00ebror me arsenalin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh n\u00eb bot\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa num\u00ebron rreth 100 mij\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00eb. Departamenti i Shtetit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe disa vende t\u00eb tjera e cil\u00ebsojn\u00eb Hezbollahun si organizat\u00eb terroriste.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00eb fundmi, Izraeli ka nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb nj\u00eb seri sulmesh t\u00eb reja n\u00eb Libanin Jugor, ku jan\u00eb t\u00eb koncentruara forcat e Hezbollahut, duke shp\u00ebrthyer pajisjet e tyre elektronike. Nga k\u00ebto sulme, \u00ebsht\u00eb <\/span>raportuar se mbi 32 persona<\/span><\/a> kan\u00eb vdekur, nd\u00ebrsa mij\u00ebra t\u00eb tjer\u00eb, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb, jan\u00eb plagosur.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrkaq, nga sulmet e vazhdueshme ajrore t\u00eb Izraelit, ka mbetur i vrar\u00eb edhe kreu i Hezbollahut, Hassan Nasrallah, i cili e ka udh\u00ebhequr k\u00ebt\u00eb grup q\u00eb nga viti 1992.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rreziku i p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit t\u00eb konfliktit<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00cbsht\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb potencohet se sulmet izraelite, ani pse t\u00eb drejtuara ndaj Hezbollahut, po b\u00ebhen n\u00eb territorin e nj\u00eb shteti sovran (Libanit), duke mos kursyer as kryeqytetin e saj, Bejrutin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo gj\u00eb rrezikon zgjerimin e konfliktit n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb rajonin e Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme. Ushtria libaneze tashm\u00eb i \u00ebsht\u00eb <\/span>kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigjur<\/span><\/a> Izraelit me nj\u00eb sulm t\u00eb saj.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tutje, Izraeli ka nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb nj\u00eb seri veprimesh n\u00eb shtete t\u00eb tjera, t\u00eb cilat kan\u00eb rrezikuar p\u00ebrfshirjen e shteteve t\u00eb tjera n\u00eb luft\u00eb \u2013 n\u00eb ve\u00e7anti, Iranit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraeli i filloi sulmet jasht\u00eb territorit t\u00eb saj me <\/span>bombardimin e Konsullat\u00ebs<\/span><\/a> iraniane n\u00eb Damask, duke vazhduar m\u00eb pas me <\/span>vrasjen e liderit politik<\/span><\/a> t\u00eb Hamasit, Ismail Haniyeh, n\u00eb kryeqytetin iranian, Teheran.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebto veprime t\u00eb Izraelit rrezikojn\u00eb p\u00ebrfshirjen direkte t\u00eb Iranit n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb konflikt. Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb shtet 89-milion\u00eb-banor\u00ebsh, i cili viteve t\u00eb fundit, pavar\u00ebsisht sanksioneve, ka zhvilluar aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e veta b\u00ebrthamore.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb p\u00ebrfshirje direkte e Iranit n\u00eb konflikt do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb kishte pasoja shkat\u00ebrrimtare p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb rajonin. Kjo n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb paevitueshme do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshinte n\u00eb konflikt edhe shtetet per\u00ebndimore si aleate t\u00eb Izraelit dhe shtete si Rusia e Kina, si aleate t\u00eb Iranit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tanim\u00eb, Irani vet\u00ebm se i ka l\u00ebshuar mbi <\/span>500 raketa balistike<\/span><\/a> mbi Izrael \u2013 300 n\u00eb muajin prill, e 200 mbr\u00ebmjen e 2 tetorit. Shumica nga k\u00ebto raketa jan\u00eb asgj\u00ebsuar nga mbrojtja ajrore izraelite, megjithat\u00eb ato kan\u00eb shkaktuar d\u00ebme mbi bazat ajrore t\u00eb Izraelit, kurse nj\u00ebra ka r\u00ebn\u00eb shum\u00eb af\u00ebr selis\u00eb qendrore t\u00eb Agjencis\u00eb izraelite t\u00eb Inteligjenc\u00ebs, Mossad.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pavar\u00ebsisht k\u00ebtyre raketave, Irani akoma nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb aktivisht n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb konflikt. Kapacitetet iraniane jan\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha se kaq, por k\u00ebto 500 raketa jan\u00eb vet\u00ebm ogur p\u00ebr seriozitetin e situat\u00ebs, e cila duhet q\u00eb sa m\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb zgjidhet.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paaft\u00ebsia e Izraelit p\u00ebr t’i kthyer pengjet e marra nga Hamasi m\u00eb 7 tetor, pasuar nga pamund\u00ebsia p\u00ebr t\u00eb mposhtur Hamasin, si dhe nevoja p\u00ebr t\u00eb q\u00ebndruar n\u00eb pushtet e Netanyahut, e kan\u00eb \u00e7uar qeverin\u00eb izraelite n\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarrjen e veprimeve d\u00ebshp\u00ebruese dhe destabilizuese, t\u00eb cilat rrezikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim serioz t\u00eb konfliktit n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i m\u00ebtejm\u00eb i situat\u00ebs, p\u00ebrpos q\u00eb do t\u00eb kishte pasoja serioze p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb globale, do t\u00eb rrezikonte edhe nj\u00eb p\u00ebrplasje shkat\u00ebrrimtare mes Lindjes dhe Per\u00ebndimit.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Gaza nuk po i duket fundi, tash kur po afron nj\u00ebvjetori i sulmit t\u00eb Hamasit n\u00eb Izrael, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin mbet\u00ebn t\u00eb vrar\u00eb rreth 1,200 persona, nd\u00ebrkaq u mor\u00ebn 251 pengje izraelite, prej t\u00eb cil\u00ebve 97 akoma po mbahen n\u00eb Gaza. N\u00eb kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigje p\u00ebr sulmin e Hamasit n\u00eb Izrael, deri m\u00eb tani, ushtria […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":7972,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[1077,1254,624,1256,1255,1000],"ppma_author":[22],"class_list":["post-8106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-gaza","tag-izraeli","tag-kryesore","tag-libani","tag-lindja-e-mesme","tag-politike-e-jashtme"],"authors":[{"term_id":22,"user_id":12,"is_guest":0,"slug":"emir-abrashi","display_name":"Emir Abrashi","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/emir-abrashi.1024x1024.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/emir-abrashi.1024x1024.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"Abrashi","first_name":"Emir","description":"Emir Abrashi \u00ebsht\u00eb studies i \u00c7\u00ebshtjeve Publike Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare n\u00eb Universitetin e Evrop\u00ebs Q\u00ebndrore n\u00eb Vjen\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa studimet p\u00ebr Komunikim Strategjik i ka p\u00ebrfunduar n\u00eb Universitetin e Abu Dhabit. Deri n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit 2021, ai ka sh\u00ebrbyer n\u00eb shoq\u00ebri civile si Hulumtues i Politik\u00ebs s\u00eb Jashtme n\u00eb \u2018Demokraci Plus\u2019, nd\u00ebrsa para k\u00ebsaj, ai ka sh\u00ebrbyer p\u00ebr dy vite si K\u00ebshilltar n\u00eb Ministrin\u00eb e Pun\u00ebve t\u00eb Jashtme t\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, ku \u00ebsht\u00eb marr\u00eb me pjes\u00ebn e korrespondenc\u00ebs dhe komunikimit zyrtar.\r\n\r\nEmiri ka qen\u00eb gjithashtu i involvuar n\u00eb procesin e lobimit dhe themelimit t\u00eb Ambasad\u00ebs s\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs n\u00eb Abu Dhabi, ku ka sh\u00ebrbyer si K\u00ebshilltar i Shefit t\u00eb Misionit. N\u00eb Abu Dhabi, ka punuar edhe si konsulent i komunikimit p\u00ebr \u00c7mimin Zayed p\u00ebr Energji t\u00eb Rip\u00ebrt\u00ebritshme, organizat\u00eb jo-profitabile n\u00ebn patronatin e Princit t\u00eb Kuror\u00ebs s\u00eb Abu Dhabit. Nd\u00ebrsa, m\u00eb her\u00ebt ka sh\u00ebrbyer p\u00ebr tre vite si Bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtor i Jasht\u00ebm n\u00eb Kabinetin e Presidentes s\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8106"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8106\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8107,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8106\/revisions\/8107"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8106"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=8106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}