{"id":840,"date":"2023-05-10T09:57:14","date_gmt":"2023-05-10T09:57:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/?p=840"},"modified":"2024-12-09T11:28:28","modified_gmt":"2024-12-09T09:28:28","slug":"presioni-i-shtuar-per-paqen-ne-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/opinion\/presioni-i-shtuar-per-paqen-ne-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Presioni i shtuar p\u00ebr paqen n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00ebmet e pushtimit total rus t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs jan\u00eb ndier gjithandej n\u00ebp\u00ebr bot\u00eb. Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb ka prodhuar rritje t\u00eb shpenzimeve dhe \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb produkteve e sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb ndryshme.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00ebrtej pasojave ekonomike,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2023\/4\/12\/ukraine-war-likely-to-stretch-past-2023-purported-us-documents#:~:text=Ukraine%20has%20suffered%20124%2C500%20to,Assessed%20Combat%20Sustainability%20and%20Attrition%E2%80%9D.\">kostoja njer\u00ebzore<\/a>\u00a0e k\u00ebsaj lufte \u00ebsht\u00eb e madhe po ashtu \u2013 p\u00ebrllogaritet q\u00eb jan\u00eb mbi 300.000 viktima nga t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt.<\/p>\n<p>Pasiguria e shkaktuar nga kjo luft\u00eb ka shtyr\u00eb vende t\u00eb cilat tradicionalisht kan\u00eb qen\u00eb neutrale, si Finlanda e Suedia,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/sq\/finlanda-dhe-suedia-aplikojn%C3%AB-p%C3%ABr-an%C3%ABtar%C3%ABsim-n%C3%AB-nato\/a-61834815\">t\u00eb aplikojn\u00eb<\/a>\u00a0e t\u00eb k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimin n\u00eb aleanc\u00ebn ushtarake m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb bot\u00ebs &#8211; NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Sado q\u00eb rezistenca ukrainase ka impresionuar bot\u00ebn dhe ka fituar simpatin\u00eb e saj, ajo \u00ebsht\u00eb e varur nga asistenca per\u00ebndimore. Me gjith\u00eb ndihm\u00ebn gjeneroze per\u00ebndimore, nj\u00eb vit pas fillimit t\u00eb luft\u00ebs, ka nisur t\u00eb shtohet presioni mbi Ukrain\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjetur nj\u00eb zgjidhje paq\u00ebsore p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00ebto thirrje fillimisht kan\u00eb ardhur nga\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/live-news\/20221119-us-pressures-ukraine-to-weigh-talks-with-russia\">Uashingtoni<\/a>, por tanim\u00eb kemi edhe\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2023-04-28\/china-trying-to-mediate-in-russia-war-with-ukraine\/102278586\">p\u00ebrfshirjen e Pekinit<\/a>, i cili ka b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb ditura planet p\u00ebr d\u00ebrgimin e nj\u00eb emisari p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuar mes Ukrain\u00ebs e Rusis\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Megjithat\u00eb, n\u00ebse Ukraina detyrohet t\u00eb heq\u00eb dor\u00eb nga nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e sovranitetit t\u00eb saj, at\u00ebher\u00eb ajo duhet t\u00eb marr\u00eb garanci p\u00ebr an\u00ebtar\u00ebsim t\u00eb menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm n\u00eb NATO dhe BE, duke i pamund\u00ebsuar Putinit, por edhe pasardh\u00ebsve t\u00eb tij n\u00eb Kremlin, q\u00eb t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarrin veprime t\u00eb ngjashme n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00ebsisoj, Ukraina do t\u00eb mbrohej nga NATO dhe do t\u00eb kishte garanci p\u00ebr shtetnd\u00ebrtim dhe konsolidim t\u00eb demokracis\u00eb gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs s\u00eb integrimit europian.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kostoja e zgjidhjes paq\u00ebsore n\u00eb rrethanat aktuale<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zgjidhja paq\u00ebsore, normalisht, \u00ebsht\u00eb e pamundur t\u00eb gjendet n\u00ebse Ukraina nuk l\u00ebshon pe mbi territoret tashm\u00eb t\u00eb marra n\u00ebn kontroll nga Rusia. E, k\u00ebsisoj, Ukraina do t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetej p\u00ebr muri dhe do t\u2019i pamund\u00ebsohej vazhdimi i rezistenc\u00ebs.<\/p>\n<p>Rusia, n\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr, duket se nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e gatshme p\u00ebr t\u2019u t\u00ebrhequr nga Ukraina. K\u00ebt\u00eb e ka b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb kreu i Kremlinit, Vladimir Putin, kur vendosi t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/what-does-russias-partial-mobilization-mean\">mobilizim t\u00eb pjessh\u00ebm<\/a>\u00a0t\u00eb popullat\u00ebs p\u00ebr luft\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Me gjith\u00eb p\u00ebrkrahjen popullore ruse p\u00ebr t\u00eb ashtuquajturin \u201cOperacion Special\u201d n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, vendimet p\u00ebr mobilizim t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebr luft\u00eb jan\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht jopopullore. Ky fakt shtyu Putinin t\u00eb\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2022\/10\/31\/europe\/russian-mobilization-suspended-intl\/index.html\">suspendonte<\/a>\u00a0vendimin p\u00ebr moblizimin e pjessh\u00ebm, pasi u konsiderua nj\u00eb bomb\u00eb e kurdisur p\u00ebr pushtetin absolut t\u00eb tij.<\/p>\n<p>As pala ukrainase\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlanticcouncil.org\/blogs\/ukrainealert\/ukrainians-are-united-in-rejection-of-any-compromise-with-the-kremlin\/\">nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e gatshme<\/a>\u00a0t\u00eb l\u00ebshoj\u00eb pe nga sovraniteti mbi gjith\u00eb territorin e vendit dhe kjo padyshim e b\u00ebn t\u00eb pashmangsh\u00ebm vazhdimin e luft\u00ebs atje dhe vazhdimin e agonis\u00eb n\u00eb Europ\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00eb 2014, Ukraina\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-26713727\">hoqi dor\u00eb<\/a>\u00a0nga sovraniteti i saj mbi Krimen\u00eb, pas aneksimit rus. Reagimi nga Per\u00ebndimi nuk ishte parimor \u2013 duke u munduar ta parandaloj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin e situat\u00ebs dhe nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht duke i b\u00ebr\u00eb presion pal\u00ebs ukrainase p\u00ebr t\u00eb pranuar humbjen e nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb konsiderueshme t\u00eb territorit t\u00eb saj.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, Per\u00ebndimi vazhdonte bashk\u00ebpunimin me Rusin\u00eb; Gjermania u dakordua p\u00ebr t\u00eb marr\u00eb furnizime direkte t\u00eb gazit natyror nga Rusia p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb korridori t\u00eb ri \u201cNord Stream 2\u201d, n\u00eb kurriz t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n<p>Mosreagimi i duhur nga Per\u00ebndimi dhe vazhdimi i bashk\u00ebpunimit sikur t\u00eb mos kishte ndodhur asgj\u00eb krijoi nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr Putinin, i cili do t\u00eb merrte nj\u00eb vendim tjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr agresion vet\u00ebm tet\u00eb vjet m\u00eb von\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Prandaj, \u00ebsht\u00eb e kuptueshme q\u00eb pala ukrainase ka hezitime p\u00ebr t\u00eb l\u00ebshuar pe nga sovraniteti i saj k\u00ebsaj radhe dhe duke par\u00eb q\u00eb Rusia nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aq e fuqishme sa \u00e7\u2019\u00ebsht\u00eb imagjinuar t\u00eb jet\u00eb, Ukraina \u00ebsht\u00eb e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/ukraine-russia-crimea-war-peace-volodymyr-zelenskyy\/\">vendosur ta vazhdoj\u00eb<\/a>\u00a0rezistenc\u00ebn e saj.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuad\u00ebr, \u00ebsht\u00eb tejet e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme q\u00eb bota per\u00ebndimore t\u2019i marr\u00eb seriozisht m\u00ebsimet nga e kaluara dhe t\u00eb kuptoj\u00eb q\u00eb arritja e nj\u00eb paqeje t\u00eb p\u00ebrkohshme mes Kievit dhe Mosk\u00ebs nuk n\u00ebnkupton edhe shuarje t\u00eb apetiteve ruse mbi territorin ukrainas.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dy skenar\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Jan\u00eb dy skenar\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u2019i dh\u00ebn\u00eb fund luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. E para, n\u00ebse Rusia ngulmon te mosan\u00ebtar\u00ebsimi i Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb NATO si m\u00ebnyr\u00eb p\u00ebr ta ndalur luft\u00ebn, at\u00ebher\u00eb asaj duhet t\u2019i ofrohet opsioni i t\u00ebrheqjes s\u00eb menj\u00ebhershme nga i gjith\u00eb territori ukrainas, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb k\u00ebtu edhe Krimen\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebn e ka aneksuar n\u00eb vitin 2014. Nd\u00ebrsa Ukrain\u00ebs i ofrohen garanci p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb e saj, por pa u b\u00ebr\u00eb an\u00ebtare e NATO-s, por vet\u00ebm e BE-s\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Skenari i dyt\u00eb: n\u00ebse Rusia ngulmon n\u00eb mbajtjen e territoreve tashm\u00eb t\u00eb marra n\u00ebn kontroll, at\u00ebher\u00eb asaj mund t\u2019i lihen territoret e pushtuara, por Ukrain\u00ebs t\u2019i garantohet hyrja e menj\u00ebhershme n\u00eb NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Asnj\u00ebri nga k\u00ebta dy skenar\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ideal, mir\u00ebpo n\u00eb k\u00ebta skenar\u00eb t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt fitojn\u00eb di\u00e7ka dhe sakrifikojn\u00eb di\u00e7ka, si kompromis p\u00ebr p\u00ebrfundimin e luft\u00ebs.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cbsht\u00eb thuajse e pamundur q\u00eb kjo luft\u00eb t\u00eb mbaroj\u00eb, n\u00eb kuptimin klasik t\u00eb fjal\u00ebs, me kapitullimin e nj\u00ebr\u00ebs pal\u00eb dhe fitoren e gjith\u00e7kaje nga pala tjet\u00ebr. Ajo q\u00eb do t\u00eb determinoj\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin e luft\u00ebs dhe implementimin e skenar\u00ebve t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm, \u00ebsht\u00eb suksesi ose d\u00ebshtimi i ofensiv\u00ebs ukrainase k\u00ebt\u00eb pranver\u00eb, e cila do ta determinoj\u00eb edhe pozicionin e Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb negociatat e m\u00ebtejme p\u00ebr gjetjen e paqes.<\/p>\n<p>Energjit\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast duhet t\u00eb fokusohen n\u00eb gjetjen e zgjidhjes, mir\u00ebpo pa e lejuar p\u00ebrs\u00ebritjen e nj\u00eb skenari si n\u00eb rastin e aneksimit t\u00eb Krimes\u00eb, kur p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb interesave afatshkurt\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb mund\u00ebsuar q\u00eb fronti lindor i kontinentit t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb luft\u00eb dhe t\u00eb cenohet i gjith\u00eb rendi bot\u00ebror t\u00eb cilin e njohim q\u00eb nga mbarimi i Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Ftoht\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn \u00ebsht\u00eb e domosdoshme t\u00eb evitohet nj\u00eb skenar kur pas nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushimi disavje\u00e7ar, Rusia t\u00eb inicioj\u00eb nj\u00eb sulm t\u00eb ri dhe situata t\u00eb rikthehet p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb pik\u00ebn zero.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00ebmet e pushtimit total rus t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs jan\u00eb ndier gjithandej n\u00ebp\u00ebr bot\u00eb. Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb ka prodhuar rritje t\u00eb shpenzimeve dhe \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb produkteve e sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb ndryshme. P\u00ebrtej pasojave ekonomike,\u00a0kostoja njer\u00ebzore\u00a0e k\u00ebsaj lufte \u00ebsht\u00eb e madhe po ashtu \u2013 p\u00ebrllogaritet q\u00eb jan\u00eb mbi 300.000 viktima nga t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt. Pasiguria e shkaktuar nga kjo [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":10596,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[687,637,643,671],"ppma_author":[22],"class_list":["post-840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-foreign-policy","tag-nato","tag-russia","tag-ukraine"],"authors":[{"term_id":22,"user_id":12,"is_guest":0,"slug":"emir-abrashi","display_name":"Emir Abrashi","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/emir-abrashi.1024x1024.jpg","url2x":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/emir-abrashi.1024x1024.jpg"},"user_url":"","last_name":"Abrashi","first_name":"Emir","description":"Emir Abrashi \u00ebsht\u00eb studies i \u00c7\u00ebshtjeve Publike Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare n\u00eb Universitetin e Evrop\u00ebs Q\u00ebndrore n\u00eb Vjen\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa studimet p\u00ebr Komunikim Strategjik i ka p\u00ebrfunduar n\u00eb Universitetin e Abu Dhabit. Deri n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit 2021, ai ka sh\u00ebrbyer n\u00eb shoq\u00ebri civile si Hulumtues i Politik\u00ebs s\u00eb Jashtme n\u00eb \u2018Demokraci Plus\u2019, nd\u00ebrsa para k\u00ebsaj, ai ka sh\u00ebrbyer p\u00ebr dy vite si K\u00ebshilltar n\u00eb Ministrin\u00eb e Pun\u00ebve t\u00eb Jashtme t\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, ku \u00ebsht\u00eb marr\u00eb me pjes\u00ebn e korrespondenc\u00ebs dhe komunikimit zyrtar.\r\n\r\nEmiri ka qen\u00eb gjithashtu i involvuar n\u00eb procesin e lobimit dhe themelimit t\u00eb Ambasad\u00ebs s\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs n\u00eb Abu Dhabi, ku ka sh\u00ebrbyer si K\u00ebshilltar i Shefit t\u00eb Misionit. N\u00eb Abu Dhabi, ka punuar edhe si konsulent i komunikimit p\u00ebr \u00c7mimin Zayed p\u00ebr Energji t\u00eb Rip\u00ebrt\u00ebritshme, organizat\u00eb jo-profitabile n\u00ebn patronatin e Princit t\u00eb Kuror\u00ebs s\u00eb Abu Dhabit. Nd\u00ebrsa, m\u00eb her\u00ebt ka sh\u00ebrbyer p\u00ebr tre vite si Bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtor i Jasht\u00ebm n\u00eb Kabinetin e Presidentes s\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/840","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=840"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/840\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":841,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/840\/revisions\/841"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=840"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=840"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=840"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sbunker.org\/sr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=840"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}